Election Predictions
With eight days to go, here is what I think will happen on Election Day.
President:
Barack Obama, 378 Electoral Votes.
My state-by-state projections are thus (scroll down for senate races):
The Senate:
Democrats will pick up 8 seats. [This includes pick-ups in North Carolina, Alaska and Minnesota.] Dems may pick-up 10 seats if voters in Georgia and Kentucky voters revolt against the GOP.
The House:
A bloodbath for the GOP. There is not enough time to list all the seats their going to lose. So, I’ll ballpark it between 20 and 30.
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In Summary:
I think this is the last time we’re going to see the Republican party as it currently is. To survive, the GOP must move closer to the center and start courting minorities and stop favoring misguided economic theories over common sense. Look at the Georgia Senate race to see gauge just how profound the national trend against the GOP really is.
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Racists for Obama?
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14691.html
The notion that there might be “racists for Obama,” as one Democrat called them, comes against the backdrop of a country whose white voters largely accept the notion of a black president.“The economy is trumping racism,” said Kurt Schmoke, the dean of Howard University Law School and a former Baltimore mayor. “A lot of people who we might think wouldn’t vote their pocketbook because of race — now they are.”
Anchorage Daily News Endorses Obama
http://www.adn.com/opinion/story/567867.html
Yet despite her formidable gifts, few who have worked closely with the governor would argue she is truly ready to assume command of the most important, powerful nation on earth. To step in and juggle the demands of an economic meltdown, two deadly wars and a deteriorating climate crisis would stretch the governor beyond her range. Like picking Sen. McCain for president, putting her one 72-year-old heartbeat from the leadership of the free world is just too risky at this time.
David Axelrod: Obama’s Rove?
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/27/us/politics/27axelrod.html?_r=1&pagewanted=1&hp&oref=slogin
But Mr. Axelrod, in this client-consultant relationship, appears to be something different, with a personal investment in Mr. Obama’s success that is obvious in the distress marked on his face whenever the candidate comes under attack.
Every politician has a guardian angel, and every presidential hopeful has a right-hand dispenser of wisdom. Yet in the trio of top strategists around Mr. Obama, including Robert Gibbs, a senior communications adviser, and David Plouffe, the campaign manager, it is Mr. Axelrod who has been at Mr. Obama’s side the longest and has the most interwoven relationship with him.
Krugman’s summation
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/26/opinion/26krugman.html?em
As someone who’s spent a lot of time arguing against conservative economic dogma, I’d like to believe that the bad news convinced many Americans, once and for all, that the right’s economic ideas are wrong and progressive ideas are right.
